Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.164028 42.687820 48.649146 55.548209 63.299416 71.725610 81.565207
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.168885 35.978758 45.199590 56.825957 71.024643 87.726866 108.781046
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 20.917774 29.179464 39.679951 53.864899 72.365772 95.498321 126.404705
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.727480 26.580963 38.526613 55.576456 78.992488 109.686435 152.557887
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.768317 25.166296 38.512843 58.469307 87.084671 126.083956 182.567466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 13.109449 22.243354 35.877174 57.195255 89.040915 134.061632 201.506787
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.708547 19.285193 32.717820 54.637120 88.671940 138.463598 215.429689
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.024855 18.946737 33.470932 57.990538 97.241772 156.222956 249.637973
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.740819 19.218071 35.183107 62.950382 108.595769 178.790492 292.312450
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.749287 18.090690 34.421640 63.750888 113.349612 191.518894 320.754280
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.754515 16.801768 33.210793 63.623671 116.495745 201.828214 345.932186
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.821347 15.484200 31.777560 62.923583 118.545566 210.402549 368.721950
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.082205 14.490330 30.908731 63.301605 122.751008 223.230736 399.993486
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.442433 13.612621 30.175450 63.893024 127.457274 237.352646 434.564609
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.474858 11.850502 27.469683 60.437229 124.528067 238.225444 446.904845
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.140781 11.462924 27.499078 62.294870 131.535136 256.774505 490.548093
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.952070 11.386817 28.167748 65.485941 141.292346 280.769702 544.996756
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.425889 10.381984 26.687436 64.075570 141.985940 288.378043 570.771929
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.876515 9.205366 24.653365 61.245806 139.575553 290.030859 585.793272
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.805420 9.302210 25.580851 64.954438 150.696000 317.705765 649.953416
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.835628 9.687939 27.238680 70.435287 165.852459 353.871384 731.618458
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.603267 9.274924 26.894166 71.319410 171.399006 371.765031 779.788663
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.343811 8.729481 26.145138 71.178911 174.722372 385.458210 820.607003